Sports
What do Scotland need to make last 16?
A win against Hungary secures Scotland either second or third – most likely third – and potentially a place in the last 16.
To finish second would require a German victory over Switzerland, and one hell of a goal swing. The Swiss currently have a goal difference of +2 while ours is -4.
If a six-goal swing happens and the goal difference finishes level (both teams have scored four goals and conceded six) then lower disciplinary points would decide second, which Switzerland hold.
We’d take a scrappy 1-0 though, getting Scotland to four points – which is usually enough to be one of the best third-placed teams.
What about a draw? Well, mathematically, Scotland do not need to win tonight. A draw would move them to two points which might – big might – be enough to progress as one of the best third-placed teams.
Should any two of these three things happen, a point would be enough for Clarke’s men to sneak through on the two-point mark:
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Spain and Italy both win their final games in Group B – against Albania and Croatia respectively – on Monday
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Denmark overcome Serbia and England beat Slovenia by four goals in Group C on Tuesday
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Portugal and Turkey earn victories in Group F on Wednesday over Georgia and Czech Republic respectively
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