What do Scotland need to make last 16?

A win against Hungary secures Scotland either second or third – most likely third – and potentially a place in the last 16.

To finish second would require a German victory over Switzerland, and one hell of a goal swing. The Swiss currently have a goal difference of +2 while ours is -4.

If a six-goal swing happens and the goal difference finishes level (both teams have scored four goals and conceded six) then lower disciplinary points would decide second, which Switzerland hold.

We’d take a scrappy 1-0 though, getting Scotland to four points – which is usually enough to be one of the best third-placed teams.

What about a draw? Well, mathematically, Scotland do not need to win tonight. A draw would move them to two points which might – big might – be enough to progress as one of the best third-placed teams.

Should any two of these three things happen, a point would be enough for Clarke’s men to sneak through on the two-point mark: