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Supercomputer rates Scotland’s chances of qualifying from group after Swiss draw

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Supercomputer rates Scotland’s chances of qualifying from group after Swiss draw

SCOTLAND have given themselves a chance to make history with last night’s 1-1 draw with Switzerland.

They now need to win against Hungary in their final matchday – and HOPE the rest of the results in other groups go their way.

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Scotland’s Billy Gilmour leaves the pitch as a substitute during the UEFA Euro 2024 match
Scotland Steve Clarke looks on during the UEFA EURO 2024 Group A

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Scotland Steve Clarke looks on during the UEFA EURO 2024 Group ACredit: Getty

Since the tournament went to 24 teams, no team has EVER failed to qualify with four points.

But the Scots have a poor goal difference – and that would be a new agony for the football gods to inflict upon us.

And now the boffins at BETSiE have run an algorithm to predict the chances of us – and everyone else – making it out of the group stages.

And they don’t make great reading for Steve Clarke and his men with the Scots still only given a 36% chance of making it out of the group stages.

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That’s less than every one of the teams the supercomputer expects to finish third in every other group – EXCEPT Croatia.

The Croats and Albanians both have a point to their name in Group B, although Croatia have a minus 3 goal difference and have still to face Italy.

The Scots have played a game more than many of their rivals, of course, so there’s plenty of room for change.

But with current third placed sides Serbia (Group C, 61%), Austria (Group D, 50%), Belgium (Group E, 74%), and Czechia (Group F, 73%) all given a far higher chance of making it than Scotland, perhaps Steve Clarke and the Tartan Army shouldn’t start counting their chickens just yet.

Scotland still have a slim mathematical chance of finishing second in the group but only the top four third placed teams sure of reaching the knockout phase.

Germany have already qualified for the knockout stages, with Switzerland a near mathematical certainty to do likewise at 99.99%.

Scotland hero James McFadden caught wildly celebrating Scott McTominay goal

The Scots have been dealt a seismic injury blow at Euro 2024 after Kieran Tierney was stretchered-off.

He was chasing down Dan Ndoye as the forward bore down on goal, when he appeared to damage a hamstring and go down in a heap.

It was an evenly contested game

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It was an evenly contested game
Billy Gilmour was in the thick of the action against the Swiss

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Billy Gilmour was in the thick of the action against the Swiss
How the super computer rates our chances of progression

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How the super computer rates our chances of progression

Tierney looked visibly distraught as a stretcher was instantly called for and the former Celtic man was taken off to be replaced by Scott McKenna.

The injury nightmare struck mid way through the second-half of the Group A showdown in Cologne.

Go Ballistic – SunSport’s new podcast

SUNSPORT is going Ballistic with the launch of our brilliant new podcast.

Every day of the Euros host Roger Hannah will bring you all the latest news and views from the Scotland camp in Garmisch-Partenkirchen.

He will be joined by our men in Germany – Bill Leckie, Robert Grieve and Derek McGregor.

And there will also be special guest appearances from our Euro 2024 columnist Gordon Strachan, regular columnist Kris Boyd and bookie basher Jim Delahunt.

You can watch every episode on our website or our brand new YouTube channel.

What are you waiting for, it’s time to Go Ballistic!

Keep up to date with ALL the latest news and transfers at the Scottish Sun football page

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